Bitcoin sells the news on Hong Kong ETF debut — Will BTC hold $60K?

cyptouser7 months agoCryptocurrencies News142
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Bitcoin's (BTC) price fell below the $61,000 mark after the first spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) went live in Hong Kong. Is Bitcoin at risk of going below $60,000 in the next few days?

BTC price falls below $61K as Hong Kong ETF launches

Bitcoin fell to a weekly low of $60,543 on April 30, a day after the launch of the first batch of spot Bitcoin ETFs in Hong Kong. The world’s first cryptocurrency is down over 7.3% on the weekly and 13% on the monthly chart, according to CoinMarketCap.

BTC/USDT 1-day chart. Source: CoinMarketCap

The Hong Kong-based ETFs only amassed $12.4 million in trading volume during the first day, which pales compared to the first-day trading volume of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, valued at $4.6 billion.

However, this is a high figure considering the size of the Hong Kong market, equivalent to $1.6 billion worth of trading volume in the United States, according to senior Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas.

Balchunas wrote in an April 30 X post:

“You have to understand [that Hong Kong] is 1/168th the size of the U.S… That said, Hong Kong ETFs launched at a good time as the U.S. is slowing, so their $141m+ in inflows going to more than offset slightly negative U.S. flows.”
Hong Kong ETF flows, launch day. Source: Eric Balchunas

Approximately 14% of the $12.4 million daily trading volume was captured by spot Ether ETFs in Hong Kong with 86% flowing into Bitcoin-based ETFs.

Bitcoin ETF news "gets absorbed"

Bitcoin’s price drop after the debut of Hong Kong ETFs is a typical "sell-the-news" event, according to Mehdi Lebbar, the co-founder of institutional-grade risk assessment platform Exponential.fi. He told Cointelegraph:

“Market participants often anticipate these events, leading to a price surge prior to the actual news, and subsequently take profits once the news is public. This pattern suggests a tactical response from short-term traders to capitalize on the hype, followed by a correction as the news gets absorbed.”

Over in the United States, weekly Bitcoin ETF net flows remain negative. The ten Bitcoin ETFs saw over $257 million worth of negative net outflows this week, down from over $396 million in negative outflows during the previous week, according to Dune data.

Bitcoin ETF Net Flows. Source: Dune

The U.S.-based ETFs were a significant part of Bitcoin’s price appreciation in 2024. By Feb. 15, Bitcoin ETFs accounted for about 75% of new investment in the world’s largest cryptocurrency as it surpassed the $50,000 mark, according to CryptoQuant research.

Related: Bitcoin outperforms Tesla stock for the first time since 2019

More downside ahead for Bitcoin?

Bitcoin was already on a downward trend over the previous weeks, which could see it fall below the $60,000 mark, according to Ben Caselin, the CMO of VALR exchange. He told Cointelegraph:

“Bitcoin could certainly descend below $60,000 and could certainly see resistance for a few weeks, but ultimately the effects of the Halving will kick in and so most long-term holders of Bitcoin would take this period of time as an opportunity.”

While Bitcoin may indeed fall below the $60,000 psychological mark, it could present a good buying opportunity for long-term holders, in line with corrections from previous post-halving rallies, according to Lebbar, the co-founder Exponential.fi:

“If Bitcoin's price goes below this mark, it may further slide towards the $52,000 support level. This support could present a significant buying opportunity, especially since long-term investors often benefit from acquiring during such dips.”

Over $306 million worth of cumulative leveraged long positions would be liquidated across all exchanges if Bitcoin's price fell below $60,000, according to Coinglass.

Bitcoin Exchange Liquidation Map. Source: Coinglass

As Cointelegraph reported the key levels to watch will be around $60,000 and $51,000.

Traders should keep a close eye on the key $60,000 support level this week, according to Matt Bell, the CEO of open-source software firmTurbofish. He wrote:

“Key levels this week include psychological supports like $60,000 and resistances like $65,000 while monitoring sentiment, institutional activity, and macro factors adds context.”

Related: 'China is about to start bidding' — Will Hong Kong Bitcoin ETFs spark the halving rally?

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